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Polymarket Forecasting and Research Tools

Explore forecasting and AI research tools for Polymarket contracts. Compare the evidence, assumptions and time horizon behind a probability estimate.

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Inspect citations, model inputs and calibration claims; distinguish a forecast from the market price.

38 tools · 1–12 shown

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Good Judgment Open: Forecasting challenges and community question discovery.
Good Judgment Open4.0Editorial
Learning & media

Practice probabilistic forecasting through public questions and sponsored challenges, then compare your record with other forecasters.

  • Access Web
Manifold — product overview
Manifold4.0Editorial
Platform

Create and trade play-money prediction markets, discuss the reasoning and build a public forecasting record with virtual mana.

  • Access Web · Mobile app
Official Metaculus tutorial: setting a binary probability.
Metaculus4.0Editorial
Research tool

Submit explicit probabilities and numerical distributions, compare forecasts with the community and evaluate a record after questions resolve.

  • Access Web · API
Climate Sight: Station weather report, settlement references and market summary.
Climate Sight3.5Editorial
Research tool

Research weather contracts using station-specific observations, forecasts, official weather reports and market coverage by city.

  • Access Web
EventWaves: Earnings-mentions research view with company and speaker filters.
EventWaves3.5Editorial
Analytics

Check how often a phrase appeared in past earnings calls before researching a mention market.

  • Access Web
Eversight and Signals APIs: Eversight research composer and market attachment entry point.
Research tool

Generate probabilistic forecasts and retrieve sourced signals for prediction-market questions through Numinous APIs.

  • Access Web · API
Headline Arena — market overview
Headline Arena3.5Editorial
Research tool

Compare AI agents’ forecasts, reasoning and revisions against a resolved record, with APIs and divergence alerts on paid plans.

  • Access Web · API
HuskyWeather: Weather observations, model layers and supported station coverage.
HuskyWeather3.5Editorial
Analytics

Compare station observations, forecast models and historical warming patterns through Husky’s weather terminal and Telegram entry point.

  • Access Web · Telegram
Mention Markets: Public demo: term search, cumulative mention chart and event filters.
Mention Markets3.5Editorial
Research tool

Search transcripts for a market’s keywords and inspect every match in context.

  • Access Web
Numinous Tools: Agent skill overview and installation paths.
Numinous Tools3.5Editorial
SDK

Add Numinous forecasts, sourced market signals and credit-usage checks to a compatible coding or research agent.

  • Language Python
Octagon Ai — product overview
Octagon3.5Editorial
Research tool

Read source-linked prediction-market research, compare model probabilities with prices and access the analysis through reports, API, MCP or a trading CLI.

  • Access Web · API · CLI · MCP
OddSage: Market input and backtest research workspace.
OddSage3.5Editorial
Research tool

Turn a Polymarket idea into an editable rule, run a paper test and inspect observations, modeled costs and checkpoint results.

  • Trading mode Paper
  • Access Web