PolytoolhubWhat is OVERROUND?
OVERROUND starts from a forecaster’s resolved record rather than simply a large trade. Its leaderboard adjusts price-relative accuracy for sample size and category, while the wallet checker answers a separate question about outcomes versus entry-price expectations. Paid alerts trigger when a qualifying wallet takes a position large relative to its own history.
Who it is for
- Researchers comparing trader records beyond raw win rate
- Users who want fewer, explained wallet alerts
- Readers auditing a published scoring method
Features and coverage
- Available on
- Web, Email, Telegram alerts
- Markets & venues
- Polymarket
- Category rankings
Compare price-relative records within a subject area.
- Sample adjustment
Discount thin histories rather than treating every winning streak equally.
- Calibration views
Compare stated probability with observed outcomes.
- Wallet checker
Evaluate eligible held-to-resolution positions against raw entry prices.
- Conviction gate
Require at least $1,000 notional, a 10–90¢ entry and, when enough history exists, 1.5 times the wallet’s median position.
- Alert delivery
Receive email and optionally connect Telegram from the feed page.
- Digest and caps
Collapse bursts and include capped activity in a daily digest.
- Receipts ledger
Inspect wins and losses and the underlying graded records.
Workflows with OVERROUND
Research a forecaster
Open its category board, sample size, calibration and graded history.
Configure alerts
Subscribe, choose categories on the feed page and connect Telegram if desired.
Explain a mismatch
Remember that the leaderboard and wallet checker use different eligibility and baseline rules.
Pricing and total cost
Public research plus one paid plan.
Free
$0
- Category-leading wallet research
- Receipts and methodology
- Wallet checker: three checks/day, or 30 signed in
- Weekly report
Pro founding monthly
$19/month
- Full scores and top-board research
- Conviction alerts and watchlist
- Daily digest
Annual
$228/year
- Pro access
Access: The standard monthly rate is listed as $29. The $19 founding rate remains while the subscription is active.
Getting started
Before you start: Alerts exclude short Up/Down series, daily highest-temperature and above/below price-threshold markets.
- Open a category leaderboard.
- Read the score methodology.
- Inspect a wallet and the receipts.
- Subscribe if you need alerts.
- Choose categories and connect Telegram from Your feed.
Useful links
What to check
- Alerts exclude short Up/Down series, daily highest-temperature and above/below price-threshold markets.
- In-play sports can alert; delivery is typically minutes after the original fill.
- Scores are computed before fees.
- The checker and leaderboard can disagree because they measure different records.
A closer look
Ratings & reviews
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Frequently asked questions about OVERROUND
Is this automatic copying?
No. It supplies research and alerts.
Can I choose categories?
Yes, from the feed page.
Where is Telegram connected?
Use Connect Telegram on the subscriber feed, then Start in Telegram.