What is WC Formbook?
WC Formbook is most useful as a worked sports-research example. It exposes the path from recent international results to match forecasts and tournament views, plus a report and betting-ROI record. The completed 2026 tournament material is an archive for evaluating methodology and historical decisions.
Who it is for
- Football model researchers
- Users studying probability-to-market comparisons
- Readers auditing a completed tournament forecast
Features and coverage
- Available on
- Web, GitHub
- Markets & venues
- Polymarket
- Research topics
- World Cup modeling, Historical forecast evaluation
- Recent form
Review the last ten international matches in most-recent-first order.
- Match probabilities
Inspect the Dixon–Coles-based forecasting approach.
- Tournament bracket
Follow the actual knockout progression.
- Go-through estimates
Compare advancement probabilities across teams.
- Futures and awards
Research longer-horizon tournament questions.
- Picks and ROI
Inspect the published selection and performance record.
- Methodology and glossary
Read the definitions behind model outputs.
- Source trail
Follow the code and archived data runs.
Workflows with WC Formbook
Audit a prediction
Choose a match, inspect the available form inputs and compare the recorded probability with the outcome.
Study market selection
Read the archived Polymarket comparison and the selection rule before interpreting ROI.
Reuse the method
Trace source inputs and model assumptions through the linked repository rather than copying an expired tournament pick.
Pricing and total cost
The public research archive, methodology and linked code are accessible without a listed subscription.
Getting started
Before you start: The 2026 tournament material is historical, not a current upcoming-match signal.
- Open the report and methodology.
- Choose Matches, Futures or Awards.
- Check which archived run produced the forecast.
- Review input form and model assumptions.
- Compare the result and recorded market quote.
- Follow the code for reproducible analysis.
Useful links
What to check
- The 2026 tournament material is historical, not a current upcoming-match signal.
- The knockout bracket follows actual winners and should not be read as the original forecast bracket.
- Model probabilities and archived market snapshots have different timestamps.
- The ROI record depends on its stated selection and price assumptions.
A closer look
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Browse categoryFrequently asked questions about WC Formbook
Is this a current live football betting feed?
Its main material is a completed World Cup research archive.
Which match model is identified?
Dixon–Coles.
Can I inspect inputs?
The site links its sources, methodology and archived runs.
Does the bracket show only model picks?
It follows the actual tournament progression.


