Polytoolhub
What is Gemini Predictions?
Gemini Predictions places event discovery, outcome prices, market charts and contextual information in a single exchange interface. The public board lets users compare related questions before signing in. Account-specific execution uses Gemini’s prediction-market product and its own contract and fee rules.
Who it is for
- Gemini users researching event contracts
- Users comparing crypto and macro outcomes
- Traders evaluating another venue’s quoted prices
Features and coverage
- Available on
- Web
- Markets & venues
- Gemini Predictions
- Research topics
- Event contracts, Crypto and macro markets
- Market discovery
Browse categories or search a specific question.
- Outcome prices
Compare YES/NO and multi-outcome event quotes.
- Market charts
Inspect the price path before considering an entry.
- News context
Read the surrounding information shown with markets.
- Event groups
Compare several related contracts.
- Combo entry
The interface exposes a Create Combo workflow.
- Account portfolio
Manage positions through the signed-in exchange experience.
- Published fee notice
Distinguish maker and taker treatment.
Workflows with Gemini Predictions
Research a threshold
Read the event definition and observation time, then compare the chart with the current order quote.
Compare venues
Match the exact contract rules before comparing Gemini’s price with another exchange.
Estimate execution costs
Use the applicable maker/taker rate and the smaller of the YES/NO prices in the published fee model.
Pricing and total cost
The published notice calculates fees as min(P, 1−P) × number of contracts × applicable fee rate. It lists a 0 maker rate and 0.05 taker rate, with certain member schedules varying. This is not a flat 5% charge on the full stake.
Getting started
Before you start: A missing quote is not a zero-probability outcome.
- Browse the public prediction board.
- Open the exact event and its rules.
- Sign in and complete the product’s account requirements.
- Review funding and available order types.
- Inspect the final price, contract count and fee.
- Track the position through the exchange account.
Useful links
What to check
- A missing quote is not a zero-probability outcome.
- Gemini’s event contracts are separate from its spot-crypto trading products.
- A combo depends on its own available quote and contract terms.
- Member-specific fee schedules can differ from the general notice.
A closer look
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Frequently asked questions about Gemini Predictions
Is the fee simply 5% of my purchase?
No; the published formula uses the lower of the YES or NO prices.
Can I browse without signing in?
The public market board is viewable.
Does Gemini have its own contracts?
Yes; this is not a Polymarket frontend.
Can I compare related outcomes?
The board groups event outcomes and provides search.